Islamabad:
Pakistan and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) have not reached a staff-level agreement on the second economic review due to differences in estimates of damage from the recent floods and other factors.
Pakistani authorities have estimated the cost of the floods at Rs 744 billion, while the IMF estimates the losses at around Rs 585 billion.
According to Pakistani negotiators, there was also no agreement on the impact of the floods on the primary budget surplus and last year's economic growth rate.
Disagreements also persist over the release of the Governance and Corruption Report. The IMF has also demanded a cut of Rs300 billion in the Public Sector Development Program to reduce the deficit in tax collections and economic losses.
Despite all this, the IMF has described the implementation of the loan program conditions as strong, saying that significant progress has been made in the agreement with the Pakistani authorities and that it has been decided to continue policy discussions until a consensus is reached on the outstanding issues.
The statement of the second semi-annual economic review talks between Pakistan and the IMF was issued on Thursday. The IMF emphasized maintaining fiscal discipline and providing assistance to flood victims.
It has also recommended maintaining a tight fiscal policy to keep inflation within the set target. Regular tariff adjustments and reforms have been agreed upon to revive the energy sector, and discussions have been held on reducing the size of government institutions and improving transparency.
A statement issued by IMF Mission Chief Eva Petrova at the end of the talks said that Pakistan and the IMF have made significant progress towards a staff-level agreement, and that discussions will continue to resolve any outstanding issues.
The State Bank has kept inflation within the target through a tight monetary policy, and Pakistan has implemented the Climate Change Program (RSF).
Finance Ministry officials say that discussions with the IMF since September 25 have been constructive and positive, and virtual discussions will continue.
According to sources, in the negotiations between Pakistan and the IMF, it has been agreed to end the tax-free car import schemes, end the baggage and gift schemes, and further tighten the Transfer of Residence Scheme.
Commercial import of used vehicles older than 5 years will be allowed conditionally. The IMF has directed that approval be sought through the ECC this month to further tighten the conditions.
According to sources, there is still disagreement between the government and the IMF over the release of the Governance and Corruption Report. The task force established in this regard has made various recommendations. The assets of government officials of grades 17 to 22 and their families will be disclosed.
Sources say that even a slight improvement in the economic growth rate will reduce the tax-to-GDP ratio for the last fiscal year, and thus the Federal Board of Revenue will have to collect more revenue to achieve the 11 percent GDP target.
The government is also reluctant to implement new tax concessions and reforms in state-owned enterprises. Sources say that another problem is the power division's Rs505 billion circular debt. The IM wants the losses to be limited to Rs20 billion.
The IMF has also recommended increasing transparency in the judicial system. The global organization has also advised the federal cabinet, the Supreme Judicial Council, and the provincial high courts to publish annual reports through their respective governments.